2026-07-13 Review: How Large Was the Recalculated Korean Drawdown?

Correction and editorial revision — 23 October 2026: This retrospective replaces the earlier mixed-time narrative with dated provider observations. The original daily Korean decline was understated and its regional implications were overstated. The earlier causal explanations and trading implications are withdrawn; their removal is not a finding that every cited event was false. Historical closing observations can differ from the intraday quotes used in the earlier version.

This archive review uses observations available in the retrieved daily history on or before 2026-07-13. Each market has its own closing time. The question is: How Large Was the Recalculated Korean Drawdown?

What changed in the calculation

  • For KOSPI, the archived input reported -6.65%. Matching its quoted value to 2026-07-13 and comparing with 2026-07-10 gives -8.95% in the provider daily series.
  • For US 10-year yield proxy, the archived input reported +0.98%. Matching its quoted value to 2026-07-13 and comparing with 2026-07-10 gives +0.88% in the provider daily series.

The comparison above concerns the archived input and dated daily history. The table below uses a single stated cutoff with each instrument’s own preceding observation; it does not assert simultaneous prices. For the yield proxy, percentage changes in the quote are distinct from basis-point changes and from bond returns.

The measured comparison

KOSPI moved from 7,475.94 on 2026-07-10 to 6,806.93 on 2026-07-13: -8.95%. Its five-observation-interval return from 2026-07-06 was -15.46%. The last-day return and the longer-window return answer different questions; neither identifies a sector contribution. KOSPI history.

The S&P 500 returned -0.79% over 2026-07-10–2026-07-13, and the Nasdaq returned -1.55% over 2026-07-10–2026-07-13. The Korean daily percentage change minus the Nasdaq daily change is -7.39 percentage points. This is a comparison of separately timed intervals, not an estimate of how Korea reacted to that later US session. No broad emerging-market index was collected.

Reproducing the longer comparison

For KOSPI, the five-interval baseline is 8,051.33 on 2026-07-06; the endpoint is 6,806.93 on 2026-07-13. The calculation is (endpoint ÷ baseline − 1) × 100 = -15.46%. This uses the endpoints directly rather than adding rounded daily percentages. Five observations need not correspond to one calendar week when a market is closed.

Source-linked daily observations

Daily provider history retrieved 22 October 2026; cutoff 2026-07-13
Series Previous date Previous value Date Value Change Time zone
KOSPI (^KS11) 2026-07-10 7,475.94 2026-07-13 6,806.93 -8.95% Asia/Seoul
S&P 500 (^GSPC) 2026-07-10 7,575.39 2026-07-13 7,515.34 -0.79% America/New_York
Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) 2026-07-10 26,281.61 2026-07-13 25,873.18 -1.55% America/New_York
US 10-year yield proxy (^TNX) 2026-07-10 4.569 2026-07-13 4.609 +4.0 bp America/Chicago
WTI futures (CL=F) 2026-07-10 71.41 2026-07-13 78.14 +9.42% America/New_York
Gold futures (GC=F) 2026-07-10 4,113.70 2026-07-13 4,005.70 -2.63% America/New_York
USD/KRW (USDKRW=X) 2026-07-10 1,505.91 2026-07-13 1,498.48 -0.49% Europe/London
USD/JPY (USDJPY=X) 2026-07-10 162.36 2026-07-13 161.88 -0.30% Europe/London
VIX (^VIX) 2026-07-10 15.03 2026-07-13 17.16 +14.17% America/Chicago

Scope and limitations

Returns are calculated before rounding from Yahoo Finance daily history, not independently verified exchange settlement records. Index values are in points; the yield proxy is quoted in percent; currency quotes are local units per US dollar; gold and WTI futures are dollars per ounce and barrel. Futures-series changes can reflect contract rolls and are not a continuously held contract’s investment return. These are retrospective observations, not live prices or a reconstruction of every intraday quote available to the original author.

For the underlying method, see the trading-session and return guide. This page retains its original address for correction transparency. The title and text now reflect the narrower evidence available; the old URL wording should not be treated as a current claim. No trading instruction is retained.

Written by

James Yoo

James Yoo is the editor of Global Invest Daily. He follows global macro and cross-asset markets daily — Federal Reserve and ECB policy, Middle East energy dynamics, China and emerging markets — and writes scenario-based analysis of how geopolitical events transmit into equities, bonds, FX, and commodities. Every post follows the site's editorial standards: in-line attribution for every external statistic, no directive investment advice, and published corrections. Reach him via the site's Contact page.

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